What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?” on Polymarket?

No 61% · Yes 40%, on $448 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?

No 61% · Yes 40%. Volume $448, liquidity $696. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
61%
Yes
40%
Volume
$448
Liquidity
$696

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?
No 94% · Yes 6% · 24h volume $17k
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?
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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 74% · Yes 27% · 24h volume $12k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
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FAQ

What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?” on Polymarket?: No 61% · Yes 40%, on $448 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?

live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

60.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 22% · $1.5–$1.75T 16%	$140k	$179k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 27% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18%	$38k	$29k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$32k	$42k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 38% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$24k	$75k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 58% · Anthropic 42% · OpenAI 0%	$24k	$195k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 53% · Alphabet 1% · Microsoft 1%	$18k	$297k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$17k	$49k
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$12k	$27k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 26¢ask 53¢spread 27¢mid 40¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4826¢

53¢100

2425¢

54¢13

6623¢

64¢900

20022¢

75¢60

10020¢

93¢5

90012¢

98¢38

52¢

99¢10k

831¢

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
PippiTrader	Yes	428	32¢	$131.42	$72k
jeev	No	403	68¢	$272.51	−$3k
a5533	No	25	75¢	$18.75	−$8k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$8k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$6k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2k
5Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1k
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61
8Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$913.84
9Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$891.89
10Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?$660.19