No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $5.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $112k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 28% · $1.5–$1.75T 24% · $2.0–$2.25T 18% | $110k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $45k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $42k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $33k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $28k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 65% · Anthropic 29% | $28k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $23k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kodeoed | No | $70.08 |
| hermesss123 | No | $52.50 |
| jeev | No | $51.44 |
| 0xd01f… | No | $22.80 |
| anon332 | No | $7.55 |
| 0xc323… | No | $3.85 |
| zhiquyipiao | No | $3.71 |
| toomanyfent | No | $2.16 |
| 0xdbbf… | No | $0.88 |
| big-bird1 | No | $0.69 |
| VincentGaoHJ | No | $0.50 |
| shadukered | Yes | −$6 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $216; the 4 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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