Talarico 100% · Paxton 0%. Smart money leans Talarico (1 ranked wallet, average entry 100¢). Volume $13k, liquidity $12k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $8.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 61% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $581k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 15% · James Talarico 3% · Mark Kelly 2% | $425k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital | Talarico | 640 |
| BetterFish | Talarico | 560 |
| PavtheGreat | Talarico | 520 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Talarico | 367 |
| Belgaron | Talarico | 200 |
| vinii | Talarico | 154 |
| UN-Sure | Talarico | 147 |
| SitsToPee | Talarico | 70 |
| 0xc925…6d24 | Talarico | 20 |
| sunnynotbunny | Talarico | 17 |
| 0x553324 | Paxton | 560 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Paxton | 467 |
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