No 90% · Yes 10%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 86¢). Volume $4.9k, liquidity $756. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $322k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $271k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $159k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $144k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $140k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $137k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 83% · No 17% | $130k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $111k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lbr9 | Yes | 724 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 185 |
| Perypery | Yes | 132 |
| 0xd717…07c6 | Yes | 83 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 33 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| avverti | Yes | 20 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 15 |
| ashokking | Yes | 11 |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 973 |
| Wowiwow | No | 100 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.