No won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 90¢) and won. Volume $4.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $318k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $263k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $174k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $162k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $117k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $110k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | $138.45 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | $4.39 |
| boofa | No | $2.40 |
| Halfa-Beta | No | $2.04 |
| tinyyyyy1 | No | $1.20 |
| special-one | No | $1.20 |
| congmqian-gendan | No | $0.55 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | −$10 |
| LovelyPanda | Yes | −$2.71 |
| RalphMoney | Yes | −$1 |
| ashokking | Yes | −$1 |
| K00ldr4g0n | Yes | −$0.84 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $150; the 5 biggest losers gave up $16. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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