No 76% · Yes 24%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 75¢). Volume $2.7k, liquidity $23k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $259k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $193k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $183k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $150k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $139k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 1k |
| BetsAhead | Yes | 55 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 22 |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 21 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 4 |
| 0xca75fb | Yes | 1 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 0 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 0 |
| vladius3 | No | 682 |
| ggswip | No | 141 |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | 138 |
| trx1 | No | 64 |
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