Politics · Geopolitics · live

Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

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Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?

live

Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 98%	$228k	$67k	-1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$224k	$83k	0.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$180k	$399k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$158k	$36k	-0.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$150k	$107k	-2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$148k	$44k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 40% · No 60%	$123k	$175k	-1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$121k	$69k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
wasest	Yes	4k	10¢	$420.00	$4k
Plusultra	Yes	480	7¢	$68.46	−$74.80
NAA	Yes	379			$5k
mallar	Yes	293	7¢	$20.35	−$91.58
0x7063…3afe	Yes	167	6¢	$10.00	−$66.64
0xc1b9…8cca	Yes	164	3¢	$5	−$117.00
88mnm88	Yes	150			$12k
EvilLarry-	Yes	125	8¢	$10	−$595.08
0x5d6d…85d0	Yes	117	6¢	$7.00	−$2.07
gokkegokgok	Yes	92	11¢	$10.00	−$4.16
0x467d88	No	41	96¢	$40.00	−$9.46
gitmychess	No	40	93¢	$37.20	$645.69

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$48k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$35k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?$10k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$8k
6US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$8k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$10k
8US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$6k
9Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?$1k

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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