Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $2.5M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $278k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $178k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $139k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $109k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $102k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $99k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $91k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $84k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Gohst | Yes | $42k |
| bambaaaa | Yes | $16k |
| 23449 | Yes | $15k |
| BikesAreTheBikes | Yes | $13k |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | $9k |
| daftMoney | Yes | $7k |
| Cbarbhwux | Yes | $5k |
| Newsance | Yes | $4k |
| fgdhdghrthr | Yes | $3k |
| 0xe176… | Yes | $3k |
| smallf | Yes | $2k |
| Realmrjimmy | Yes | $2k |
1,266 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $158k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $263k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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