Yes won. Smart money backed No (15 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $3.9M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $598k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $278k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $195k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $156k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.