No 95% · Yes 5%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢). Volume $27k, liquidity $12k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $250k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $204k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $198k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $173k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aosdijf | Yes | 354 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 226 |
| MAHMT | Yes | 221 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 165 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 105 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 52 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 40 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 34 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 28 |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 |
| melonmanm | No | 576 |
| ScientiaRex | No | 420 |
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