No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $247k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $203k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SP888 | Yes | 5.3M |
| Cinibengales | Yes | 1.3M |
| 0xaabec3 | Yes | 500k |
| BlueOrchid | Yes | 422k |
| FogofWar | Yes | 302k |
| 0xa25c…6430 | Yes | 301k |
| 0x2f1a…bd15 | Yes | 127k |
| banipejosss | Yes | 121k |
| 0x0468…7ac6 | Yes | 100k |
| HoneyDipper | Yes | 100k |
| notap | No | 1k |
| brilhante | No | 700 |
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