Djokovic won. Smart money backed Fritz (14 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $2.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.2M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 7% · Celtics 93% | $844k |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 96% · Eastern Michigan 5% | $781k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $762k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 50% · Pacers 50% | $717k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Avarice31 | Djokovic | $12k |
| JordanistheGoat | Djokovic | $11k |
| Hasbullahr | Djokovic | $8k |
| 0x96e1… | Djokovic | $7k |
| Dbrain | Djokovic | $4k |
| Rothcap | Fritz | $4k |
| DonnieBaby | Djokovic | $3k |
| WhateverXYZ | Djokovic | $2k |
| Jyassin75 | Djokovic | $2k |
| NadyaSuleman | Djokovic | $2k |
| luggl | Djokovic | $1k |
| regainz | Djokovic | $1k |
351 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $68k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $122k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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