No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 93¢). Volume $8.2k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $247k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $203k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yzj123 | Yes | 916 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 323 |
| Ferwhere | Yes | 317 |
| Perypery | Yes | 316 |
| folioquant | Yes | 300 |
| rocky42017 | Yes | 300 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 77 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 40 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| 0xf4cb…89cd | Yes | 19 |
| pagliacci4 | No | 680 |
| vavtr | No | 500 |
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