No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢). Volume $153k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $288k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $264k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $231k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $230k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $227k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $178k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $118k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $104k |
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