No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (15 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $231k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 79% · No 22% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $141k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $135k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $119k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 19% | $117k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yes | 424k |
| WUBVWBOIBVWG | Yes | 84k |
| 0xe166…8f14 | Yes | 78k |
| wan123 | Yes | 23k |
| Erasmus. | Yes | 20k |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 20k |
| steeplejack | Yes | 15k |
| ikickbabies | Yes | 12k |
| shalalala | Yes | 11k |
| roundboisummer | Yes | 10k |
| Tsempi | No | 649 |
| solekt | No | 37 |
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