Yes 61% · No 40%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢). Volume $40k, liquidity $23k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $794k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $245k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $230k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 88% · No 13% | $197k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $196k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $194k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $191k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $171k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| classified | Yes | 16k |
| sirenic | Yes | 5k |
| Hive13 | Yes | 856 |
| Lolakis | Yes | 516 |
| AlAhmeda | Yes | 500 |
| pykue | Yes | 405 |
| 0x8251…879d | Yes | 253 |
| VFALL | Yes | 171 |
| kepikone | Yes | 170 |
| 0x33f1…2bd0 | Yes | 161 |
| paddaa | No | 7k |
| de5nuts | No | 5k |
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