No 62% · Yes 39%. Smart money leans No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢). Volume $149k, liquidity $63k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? | SELL | No |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $240k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $240k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $239k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $226k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $175k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $146k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $134k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $120k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 23k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 11k |
| classified | Yes | 10k |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 10k |
| anoin123 | Yes | 8k |
| BigMackyG | Yes | 3k |
| KimJonEn | Yes | 1k |
| 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d | Yes | 1k |
| plm011 | Yes | 819 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 634 |
| paddaa | No | 27k |
| de5nuts | No | 5k |
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