Yes 96% · No 5%. Smart money leans No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢). Volume $155k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | SELL | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $254k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 79% · No 22% | $224k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $223k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $182k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $147k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $113k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $111k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lolakis | Yes | 6k |
| Dragontree | Yes | 5k |
| 0xecb1d3 | Yes | 5k |
| Belgaron | Yes | 5k |
| iHaveBeenPwned | Yes | 4k |
| suntori | Yes | 4k |
| StarMaster | Yes | 3k |
| maskmetaluck | Yes | 3k |
| Car | Yes | 3k |
| apple-pi | Yes | 3k |
| Sofiamas | No | 18k |
| pIebe | No | 7k |
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