No 81% · Yes 20%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢). Volume $4.8k, liquidity $12k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $247k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $203k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 247 |
| buoys | Yes | 200 |
| Chims | Yes | 140 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 120 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 73 |
| SeanKim179 | Yes | 50 |
| 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | 40 |
| 0xb46cf1 | Yes | 20 |
| 0x33333333333 | Yes | 10 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 8 |
| Olcan | No | 779 |
| BerkshireHahaway | No | 100 |
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