No 90% · Yes 10%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 90¢). Volume $5.3k, liquidity $15k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $513k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $304k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $248k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $214k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $197k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $195k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $185k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $161k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| compute | Yes | 2k |
| Quilty | Yes | 788 |
| Ersicolus | Yes | 189 |
| MahdiGhavi | Yes | 150 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 120 |
| 42424242 | Yes | 111 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 74 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 60 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 49 |
| sm-02 | Yes | 23 |
| Porx | No | 911 |
| trx1 | No | 790 |
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