Yes won. Smart money backed No (27 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $923k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $1.0M |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 79% · Ravens 21% | $809k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 48% · Suns 52% | $631k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $605k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 41% · Heat 60% | $569k |
| Blues vs. Devils | Blues 21% · Devils 79% | $545k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| idfinsider0228 | Yes | $5k |
| Aristocracy | Yes | $3k |
| 0xcfc4… | Yes | $2k |
| 00SevenB | Yes | $1k |
| winnings | No | $1k |
| gatorrqw | Yes | $805.56 |
| Seldon26 | Yes | $764.08 |
| unfortunate | Yes | $759.94 |
| whig | Yes | $657.12 |
| 0xf5e4… | No | $630.73 |
| viperr | Yes | $468.06 |
| 0xe58d… | Yes | $456.31 |
1,174 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $28k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $42k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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