Yes 82% · No 19%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 70¢). Volume $12k, liquidity $1.7k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $30k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 69% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $15k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 65% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 10% | $11k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mewmew1 | Yes | 483 |
| 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | 252 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 245 |
| jporras | Yes | 186 |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | Yes | 150 |
| shangqian | Yes | 140 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 102 |
| dgfd76 | Yes | 83 |
| X10X10X10 | Yes | 48 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 40 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 307 |
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