Who is the smart money on “Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?

No 84% · Yes 16%. Volume $264, liquidity $472. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
84%
Yes
16%
Volume
$264
Liquidity
$472

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 12 known shares

SmartBoyBilly
entry 77¢ · all-time −$10k · win 50%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?” on Polymarket?: No 84% · Yes 16%, on $264 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?

live

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

84%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No12100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$93k	$196k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$31k	$23k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 47%	$29k	$72k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$27k	$49k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 26% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$77k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$113k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$104k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 6¢ask 26¢spread 20¢mid 16¢

SizeBid

AskSize

326¢

26¢8

2002¢

44¢16

2001¢

47¢57

58¢5

59¢497

81¢95

82¢125

84¢20

86¢60

94¢11

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	154	14¢	$21.93	$193k
PPMT	Yes	8	11¢	$0.93	$18k
0xf768d6	Yes	4	8¢	$0.29	−$196.15
0xa5ef39	No	59			$0
matgul	No	23	86¢	$20	−$76.42
LornaPredicts	No	20	89¢	$17.80	$15k
cigarettes	No	20	93¢	$18.60	−$71k
Carabao	No	13	77¢	$10.32	−$3k
SmartBoyBilly	No	12	77¢	$15.42	−$10k
turtle911	No	10	89¢	$8.90	$33k
steevo	No	8	89¢	$7.54	−$6k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948