Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 79¢) and lost. Volume $26k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 67% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 64% · November 2–November 8 12% · November 16–November 22 12% | $22k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $11k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 30% · November 11 18% · November 13 7% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 8% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| iutwpfal | Yes | $2k |
| maria.masullo | Yes | $1k |
| fountaim | Yes | $359.06 |
| calm.rabbit | No | $117.90 |
| AnonymousElephant69 | Yes | $78.86 |
| hithitfar | Yes | $66.05 |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | No | $49.43 |
| hitunfar | Yes | $43.40 |
| knowerofmarkets | Yes | $26.35 |
| ziiizar01 | Yes | $24.27 |
| pinner | Yes | $19.12 |
| Justfuuun | Yes | $17.87 |
94 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $4.4k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $2.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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