Yes 97% · No 3%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢). Volume $5.9k, liquidity $636. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 8% | $28k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 73% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 30% · November 11 29% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yen4u | Yes | 936 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 527 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 444 |
| TraderBeas | Yes | 373 |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 233 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 50 |
| mapleggg | Yes | 20 |
| 0x3f9913 | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 389 |
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