Yes won. Volume $2.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 62% · November 2–November 8 12% · November 16–November 22 12% | $23k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 67% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $21k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $17k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 8% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 79% · No 21% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 25% · November 11 24% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Zhangmuzhiholy | Yes | $410.54 |
| chicanery. | Yes | $35.36 |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | Yes | $29.36 |
| yen4u | Yes | $24.32 |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE | Yes | $16.96 |
| S888 | Yes | $5.48 |
| Brokeguy451 | Yes | $5.28 |
| obscure1 | Yes | $4.47 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | $4.34 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | $2.25 |
| prizr | No | −$16.84 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | −$7.30 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $538; the 8 biggest losers gave up $36. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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