No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 98¢). Volume $2.3k, liquidity $10k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $598k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $278k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $195k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $156k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 301 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 299 |
| balthazar | Yes | 160 |
| a5533 | Yes | 65 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 60 |
| tradegod1112123 | Yes | 52 |
| monkey-brains | Yes | 45 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 40 |
| UniLB | Yes | 27 |
| velorot | Yes | 20 |
| vozomnil | No | 540 |
| JokerTheClown | No | 299 |
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