Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $458k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $360k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $255k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $123k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $119k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $84k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $78k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $70k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $64k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xcc50… | Yes | $4k |
| 0xf705… | Yes | $2k |
| 0xa19c… | Yes | $2k |
| Simpsons2026 | No | $482.29 |
| 0x7f0d… | No | $287.59 |
| hqb.prediction | Yes | $108.87 |
| 0xe35b… | No | $91.56 |
| hqb.prediction | No | $80.46 |
| Next-Licensing | Yes | $74.93 |
| 0x8888… | Yes | $38.80 |
| testTopMis | Yes | $25.24 |
| ftrxc64afn | Yes | $23.73 |
77 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $10k; the 41 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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