What are the odds for “Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?” on Polymarket?

No 100% · Yes 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 45 known shares

axiol
entry 86¢ · all-time +$2.6k · win 63%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

live

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes45100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$58k	$591k
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When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10%	$22k	$12k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11%	$14k	$10k
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Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$7k	$6k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
mvfuhy	Yes	11k	8¢	$853.79	−$2k
eucng	Yes	10k			−$1k
weeut	Yes	10k	8¢	$763.01	−$693.70
8396239287	Yes	7k	81¢	$6k	$517.23
Kokolung	Yes	7k	1¢	$50	−$60.19
nftrees	Yes	6k	93¢	$5k	−$5k
lateraleli	Yes	3k	6¢	$141.31	−$148.39
0x750738482avvdwi7	Yes	2k	16¢	$348.59	−$422.97
LukeDelta	Yes	2k			$1k
hackers8812091239	Yes	2k	64¢	$1k	−$6k
llmfangirl	No	6k	85¢	$5k	−$18k
ratfuckersam	No	586	9¢	$52.74	$615.73

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$2k
3Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$1k
4Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
5Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
6Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
7Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?$258.40
8Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96