No 69% · Yes 31%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 34¢). Volume $5.1k, liquidity $1.0k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 9% | $11k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 30% · November 10 29% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x4025…3644 | Yes | 256 |
| Seeking-Alpha01 | Yes | 176 |
| balthazar | Yes | 117 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 60 |
| ZhouCD | Yes | 27 |
| Dani7456 | Yes | 20 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 13 |
| ddadsf | Yes | 10 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | 2 |
| Lordofebola | Yes | 1 |
| omsode | No | 202 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 144 |
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.