No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% | $13.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.1M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $880k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $732k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| alebale | No | $37.53 |
| 0xaf40… | No | $3.72 |
| 0xa39f… | No | $2.19 |
| 0x61f5… | No | $2.18 |
| pinner | Yes | −$1.20 |
| erFiodena | Yes | −$1.01 |
| 0x1ef0… | No | −$0.63 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $46; the 3 biggest losers gave up $3. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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