No 75% · Yes 26%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 23¢). Volume $48k, liquidity $18k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 70% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 11% | $25k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 53% · November 11 15% · November 9 5% | $13k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $13k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x8314…0b88 | Yes | 1k |
| variant1.meta | Yes | 813 |
| rocky42015 | Yes | 175 |
| JesusFK | Yes | 119 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 119 |
| Miguel262144 | Yes | 55 |
| boki1234 | Yes | 50 |
| smlptm | Yes | 50 |
| frontiertrade | Yes | 48 |
| 0x017486 | Yes | 45 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 906 |
| 0x8f69…2923 | No | 766 |
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