Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $998, liquidity $1.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$998
Liquidity
$1.3k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 125 known shares

iutwpfalwhale
entry 100¢ · all-time +$103k · win 57%
luciebot
entry 99¢ · all-time +$8.2k · win 50%
0xa05c…6f9f
entry 0¢ · all-time +$109 · win 44%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $998 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?”?: Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?

live

Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market sha… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes125100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$53k	$593k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2%	$36k	$63k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 23–November 29 9%	$23k	$14k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 11 35% · November 10 26% · No release by November 30 9%	$14k	$11k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$13k	$17k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$10k	$13k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$10k	$10k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 61% · No 39%	$8k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	572	$193k
ConfusedUngaBunga	Yes	218	$6k
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	150	$1k
god83743894	Yes	115	$45k
qwen300.fund	Yes	103	$501k
AndrewDe	Yes	100	$8.00
iutwpfal	Yes	86	$103k
ProvidingExitLiq	Yes	80	−$97.65
.Menthe	Yes	50	$4k
0xf94d12	Yes	50	−$906.69
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0
balthazar	No	62	$1.2M

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$2k
3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$2k
4Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$696.03
5Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
6Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$506.89
7Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
8Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
9Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$173
10Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96