Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $6.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 31% · Marco Rubio 21% · Ron DeSantis 11% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Josh Shapiro 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $986k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% | $823k |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $443k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $271k |
| Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? | Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 99% · Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds 1% | $57k |
| Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5? | Yes 97% · No 4% | $39k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| musicenthusiast | Yes | $176.89 |
| vinii | Yes | $114.65 |
| togetherb | Yes | $110.45 |
| Askeladd. | Yes | $96.93 |
| Luc1999 | Yes | $85.39 |
| jpceia | Yes | $75.52 |
| johnthegreat04061990 | Yes | $66.95 |
| TheOne777 | Yes | $34.16 |
| HHR-TEST1 | Yes | $20.80 |
| sagdish | Yes | $16.25 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | $15.85 |
| asitiet | Yes | $14.57 |
53 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $973; the 17 biggest losers gave up $151. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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