Who is the smart money on “Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · Science · live

Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Yes 67% · No 34%. Volume $53k, liquidity $2.7k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
67%
No
34%
Volume
$53k
Liquidity
$2.7k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 20 known shares

big-bird1
entry 46¢ · all-time +$10k · win 49%

No

2 wallets · 5 known shares

0x28a665
entry 46¢ · all-time +$426 · win 49%
random-random123
entry 52¢ · all-time −$1.5k · win 53%

More Science markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?” on Polymarket?: Yes 67% · No 34%, on $53k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

live

Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China dur… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

66.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes2080%
No520%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Science markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$18k	$45k	-0.1%
Highest temperature in London on November 1?	12°C 56% · 11°C 47% · 13°C 4%	$18k	$2k
Highest temperature in Paris on November 1?	13°C 51% · 14°C 48% · 12°C 3%	$18k	$2k
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1?	11°C 96% · 12°C 4%	$16k	$2k
Highest temperature in Munich on November 1?	8°C 78% · 9°C 36% · 10°C 2%	$14k	$1k
Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 1?	60-61°F 65% · 62-63°F 31% · 64-65°F 5%	$14k	$2k
Highest temperature in NYC on November 1?	60-61°F 54% · 62-63°F 42% · 58-59°F 3%	$12k	$15k
Highest temperature in Houston on November 1?	82-83°F 34% · 86-87°F 11%	$11k	$843.50

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 60¢ask 73¢spread 13¢mid 67¢

SizeBid

AskSize

5760¢

73¢27

12057¢

75¢8

30056¢

77¢30

1840¢

78¢40

6039¢

79¢45

4036¢

80¢159

529¢

81¢50

1027¢

82¢80

5015¢

83¢198

45610¢

84¢518

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
michi1	Yes	9k	34¢	$6k	$39k
Bertrame6868	Yes	632	34¢	$83.51	−$306.78
dsfd3	Yes	620	40¢	$248.33	−$52.67
kupoz	Yes	471	44¢	$825.78	$19k
donthackme	Yes	207			$714k
w...	Yes	200			$31k
Bliss99131	Yes	192	41¢	$36.00	$1k
WeatherHK2	Yes	167	37¢	$62.43	$35k
0x3a9dad	Yes	160	40¢	$44.09	−$654.79
liq2	Yes	150			$11k
0xa5ef39	No	11k			$0
SnapElectionAvoider	No	743			$236k

Smart-money conviction · Science

Smart-money conviction

1Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?$496.27
2Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?$421.11
3Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2?$396.12
4Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?$318.48
5Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?$256.63
6Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 2?$223.35
7Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?$204.38
8Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 2?$201.25
9Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?$162.39
10Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?$161.23