No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢). Volume $7.7k, liquidity $1.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $29k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 5% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · Meta 1% | $16k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 54% · November 16–November 22 19% · November 9–November 15 17% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 18% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $6k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $4k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Xeny | Yes | 590 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 488 |
| hearthstone | Yes | 308 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 279 |
| theworld4 | Yes | 275 |
| X10X10X10 | Yes | 115 |
| zeitfi-vault-v2 | Yes | 91 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 65 |
| 0x0bf7…43a2 | Yes | 52 |
| 0x3d05cc | Yes | 48 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| Wolfgold | No | 157 |
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