What are the odds for “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $904 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $904, liquidity $2.0k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$904
Liquidity
$2.0k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes107100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 69% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3%	$29k	$103k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6%	$28k	$19k
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5%	$21k	$551k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$14k	$20k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$20k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$10k	$5k
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?	November 2–November 8 64% · November 9–November 15 13% · November 16–November 22 13%	$10k	$10k
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$7k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 1¢spread 0.8¢mid 0.6¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1000.2¢

1¢117

2550.1¢

1.1¢23

3¢33

5¢20

7.8¢20

7.9¢190

15¢190

24¢190

32¢125

32¢260

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
balthazar	Yes	1k	$1.2M
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	291	$173k
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	100	−$80k
navber	Yes	75	$1k
Numitus1994	Yes	71	−$36k
jackli003	Yes	71	$646.31
ConfusedUngaBunga	Yes	23	$6k
e46m3	Yes	23	$881k
VonVonagh	Yes	20	$3k
HosoTrader	Yes	14	−$2k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$3k
2Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$2k
3Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$1k
4Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?$631.91
5Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$473.26
6Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?$500.52
7Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?$381.54
8Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?$316.67
9Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?$267.57
10Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$184.18

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 107 known shares

navber
entry — · all-time +$1.4k · win 30%
VonVonagh
entry — · all-time +$3.1k · win 49%
GuyFromTinder
entry 4¢ · all-time −$100k · win 45%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $904 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $904, liquidity $2.0k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$904
Liquidity
$2.0k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?

live

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes107100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 69% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3%	$29k	$103k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6%	$28k	$19k
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5%	$21k	$551k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$14k	$20k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$20k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$10k	$5k
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?	November 2–November 8 64% · November 9–November 15 13% · November 16–November 22 13%	$10k	$10k
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$7k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 1¢spread 0.8¢mid 0.6¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1000.2¢

1¢117

2550.1¢

1.1¢23

3¢33

5¢20

7.8¢20

7.9¢190

15¢190

24¢190

32¢125

32¢260

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
balthazar	Yes	1k	$1.2M
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	291	$173k
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	100	−$80k
navber	Yes	75	$1k
Numitus1994	Yes	71	−$36k
jackli003	Yes	71	$646.31
ConfusedUngaBunga	Yes	23	$6k
e46m3	Yes	23	$881k
VonVonagh	Yes	20	$3k
HosoTrader	Yes	14	−$2k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$3k
2Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$2k
3Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$1k
4Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?$631.91
5Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$473.26
6Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?$500.52
7Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?$381.54
8Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?$316.67
9Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?$267.57
10Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$184.18

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 107 known shares

navber
entry — · all-time +$1.4k · win 30%
VonVonagh
entry — · all-time +$3.1k · win 49%
GuyFromTinder
entry 4¢ · all-time −$100k · win 45%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $904 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.