No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $2.2k, liquidity $2.9k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 66% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2% | $26k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 59% · November 2–November 8 13% · November 16–November 22 12% | $24k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $12k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 76% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 8% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 28% · November 11 19% · November 13 8% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 300 |
| lightsout912 | Yes | 220 |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 149 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 118 |
| vinii | Yes | 70 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 54 |
| nathanel26 | Yes | 53 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 47 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 39 |
| Y18 | Yes | 37 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 938 |
| Martinus- | No | 279 |
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
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