Who is the smart money on “Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?

No 94% · Yes 6%. Volume $9.8k, liquidity $1.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
94%
Yes
6%
Volume
$9.8k
Liquidity
$1.1k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 54 known shares

GingerMcKenna
entry — · all-time +$42k · win 52%

No

3 wallets · 233 known shares

K00ldr4g0nwhale
entry 78¢ · all-time +$135k · win 47%
dude8
entry 84¢ · all-time −$1.6k · win 64%
SmartBoyBilly
entry 63¢ · all-time −$10k · win 50%

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 94% · Yes 6%, on $9.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?

live

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and Nove… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

94.1%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No23381%
Yes5419%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$45k	$367k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 2%	$33k	$45k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10%	$22k	$12k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11%	$14k	$10k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$14k	$18k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$9k	$8k
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$7k	$6k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes 79% · No 21%	$6k	$10k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.9¢ask 12¢spread 11¢mid 6.6¢

SizeBid

AskSize

50.9¢

12¢30

200.8¢

12¢20

60.5¢

13¢5

250.4¢

14¢61

250.3¢

19¢30

170.2¢

19¢100

290.1¢

19¢20

23¢95

23¢10

24¢5

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	645	$193k
Martinus-	Yes	612	$871.28
FieryFox384	Yes	200	$679.98
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	121	−$339k
real-hero-himmel	Yes	106	−$161.97
2B9S	Yes	95	$97k
rocky42014	Yes	71	$7k
Dr.PNL	Yes	61	−$500k
GingerMcKenna	Yes	54	$42k
.Menthe	Yes	50	$4k
0xa5ef39	No	801	$0
0x43cb…84df	No	742	$85k

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$843.58
3Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$1k
4Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
5Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
6Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?$258.40
7Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
8Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96