No 69% · Yes 32%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 36¢). Volume $28k, liquidity $342. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $29k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 55% · Anthropic 36% · OpenAI 5% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 57% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 11% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 18% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $6k |
| Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November? | MiniMax 48% · Google 47% | $4k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cigarettes | Yes | 200 |
| ImJustSmarter | Yes | 200 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 161 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 150 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | 134 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 83 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 71 |
| CZ667 | Yes | 33 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 30 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 20 |
| lissartter | No | 380 |
| doitwise | No | 190 |
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