No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $620k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 39% · 320-339 24% · 280-299 21% | $325k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 280-299 14% · 260-279 13% · 300-319 12% | $117k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94% · Avengers: Doomsday 7% | $50k |
| Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 62% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35% | $26k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 65-89 39% · 90-114 25% · 40-64 18% | $22k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 65% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38% | $20k |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 64% · Avengers: Doomsday 37% | $15k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $15k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriell11 | No | $8k |
| c0ldzyk | No | $8k |
| Kimoy | No | $7k |
| Antonio-1729 | No | $4k |
| RRS01 | No | $3k |
| 0x4a40… | No | $3k |
| Soni-billi | No | $3k |
| It3 | No | $2k |
| Mysaria | No | $2k |
| Mrpitter | No | $1k |
| VolynMolfar | No | $882.37 |
| sywsyl | Yes | $878.67 |
370 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $54k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $23k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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