What are the odds for “Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 93% · Yes 7%, on $2.1M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

No 93% · Yes 7%. Volume $2.1M, liquidity $16k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
93%
Yes
7%
Volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$16k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 1,845 known shares

Quarrelsome-Branchwhale
entry 16¢ · P&L $114k · win 51%
0x75d1…7a5fwhale
entry 32¢ · P&L $100k · win 48%
whumpa
entry 8¢ · P&L -$9.2k · win 62%
whigwhale
entry 27¢ · P&L $314k · win 62%
dzmontanawhale
entry — · P&L $58k · win 27%

No

3 wallets · 117 known shares

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 93% · Yes 7%, on $2.1M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

live

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

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Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction