No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $701k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $779k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $238k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $218k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $200k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $186k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $160k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2132… | No | $2k |
| Revered | No | $1k |
| refzer | No | $540.00 |
| suuuuuu | No | $520.54 |
| 0x6deb… | Yes | $494.36 |
| TulipoII | No | $424.60 |
| sqaolkytrpo | No | $208.58 |
| GammaSqueeze1234 | No | $178.19 |
| eCash | No | $129.99 |
| soll2 | No | $124.24 |
| ShewasonlyonTRT | No | $123.40 |
| 0x7bd6… | No | $112.41 |
622 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $18k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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