What are the odds for “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $85k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $85k, liquidity $45k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$85k
Liquidity
$45k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No1k95%
Yes795%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$286k	$73k	-0.2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$210k	$87k	4.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$178k	$45k	0.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$130k	$50k	0.2%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$121k	$327k	0.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$119k	$90k	-3.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$89k	$56k	0.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 59%	$87k	$159k	-0.4%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.7¢ask 2¢spread 0.3¢mid 1.9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4791.7¢

2¢779

1.5k1.6¢

2.1¢500

1001¢

2.2¢405

1250.9¢

2.3¢202

8500.5¢

2.4¢300

8750.4¢

3¢100

4.8k0.3¢

3.4¢1.0k

14k0.2¢

3.5¢5.0k

4.1M0.1¢

4.3¢6.0k

9.9¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
neutralwave23	Yes	8k	−$2.2M
PaddyAlpha	Yes	1k	$49k
PolarOpposite	Yes	1k	−$14.78
Kalags	Yes	551	$70k
0x180c59	Yes	410	$16.59
BUDOG	Yes	393	−$61.24
RooksD000	Yes	385	$2k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	347	$173k
JTXEXE	Yes	308	−$3k
-gg-	Yes	300	$56.70
GironaNite	No	4k	$6k
0x8931aa	No	3k	$30k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$39k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$18k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?$16k
6US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$6k
10US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 79 known shares

79fsdfs
entry 2¢ · all-time −$271 · win 18%

No

1 wallets · 1,396 known shares

Krass
entry 96¢ · all-time +$15k · win 76%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $85k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $85k, liquidity $45k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$85k
Liquidity
$45k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

live

Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No1k95%
Yes795%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$286k	$73k	-0.2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$210k	$87k	4.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$178k	$45k	0.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$130k	$50k	0.2%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$121k	$327k	0.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$119k	$90k	-3.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$89k	$56k	0.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 59%	$87k	$159k	-0.4%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.7¢ask 2¢spread 0.3¢mid 1.9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4791.7¢

2¢779

1.5k1.6¢

2.1¢500

1001¢

2.2¢405

1250.9¢

2.3¢202

8500.5¢

2.4¢300

8750.4¢

3¢100

4.8k0.3¢

3.4¢1.0k

14k0.2¢

3.5¢5.0k

4.1M0.1¢

4.3¢6.0k

9.9¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
neutralwave23	Yes	8k	−$2.2M
PaddyAlpha	Yes	1k	$49k
PolarOpposite	Yes	1k	−$14.78
Kalags	Yes	551	$70k
0x180c59	Yes	410	$16.59
BUDOG	Yes	393	−$61.24
RooksD000	Yes	385	$2k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	347	$173k
JTXEXE	Yes	308	−$3k
-gg-	Yes	300	$56.70
GironaNite	No	4k	$6k
0x8931aa	No	3k	$30k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$39k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$18k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?$16k
6US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$6k
10US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 79 known shares

79fsdfs
entry 2¢ · all-time −$271 · win 18%

No

1 wallets · 1,396 known shares

Krass
entry 96¢ · all-time +$15k · win 76%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $85k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.