No 93% · Yes 8%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 88¢). Volume $3.5k, liquidity $866. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $250k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $204k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $198k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $173k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xcbaf…c083 | Yes | 509 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 226 |
| KakiBatusik | Yes | 215 |
| Avitz33 | Yes | 127 |
| PPMT | Yes | 120 |
| JosephIsGreat | Yes | 59 |
| 0xf92d…bf28 | Yes | 45 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 40 |
| 0xf768d6 | Yes | 22 |
| Car | Yes | 19 |
| DiaMat | No | 1k |
| 0xd046…c496 | No | 162 |
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