What are the odds for “Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 88% · Yes 12%, on $626k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?”?

Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 84¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 88% · Yes 12%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 84¢). Volume $626k, liquidity $32k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
88%
Yes
12%
Volume
$626k
Liquidity
$32k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

6 wallets · 2,183 known shares

Faquarl
entry 17¢ · P&L $27k · win 32%
GayPridewhale
entry — · P&L $653k · win 59%
ClearMove
entry 15¢ · P&L $29k · win 39%
yuhyuhyuhy352352whale
entry 13¢ · P&L $319k · win 42%
rexcom
entry 16¢ · P&L $12k · win 54%
randomWalkingShrimp
entry 16¢ · P&L $40k · win 77%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 88% · Yes 12%, on $626k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?”?: Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 84¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

live

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

11.9%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$279k	$159k	3.7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 96% · No 5%	$231k	$169k	1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$163k	$73k	2.1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$108k	$76k	0%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$82k	$31k	0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes 36% · No 65%	$79k	$96k	1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 73% · No 28%	$60k	$78k	-1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 51% · No 49%	$60k	$80k	-3%

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction