No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 1¢). Volume $2.2k, liquidity $3.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $317k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $267k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $161k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $115k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $111k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Afekeliav | Yes | 650 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 379 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 226 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 101 |
| 0x0a34…50b2 | Yes | 101 |
| balthazar | Yes | 96 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 95 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 95 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 70 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 58 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| HolyMoses7 | No | 43 |
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