No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 96¢). Volume $402k, liquidity $29k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $694k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $237k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $191k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 22% · No 79% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $157k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kepochnik | Yes | 3k |
| 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | 3k |
| fiter | Yes | 2k |
| 0xe101…06e7 | Yes | 2k |
| FlashTradeOracle | Yes | 1k |
| nryy | Yes | 731 |
| balthazar | Yes | 701 |
| timo1998 | Yes | 464 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 409 |
| Thich-Coin-Money | Yes | 400 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 18k |
| flavusafaber | No | 58 |
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