No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). Volume $145k, liquidity $19k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $297k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $200k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $154k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $124k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | 4k |
| paddaa | Yes | 2k |
| 0xe101…06e7 | Yes | 2k |
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 1k |
| FlashTradeOracle | Yes | 1k |
| rocky42024 | Yes | 737 |
| nryy | Yes | 731 |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
| hp210210 | Yes | 600 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 409 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 18k |
| Goopster | No | 22 |
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