No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢). Volume $621k, liquidity $23k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $252k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $248k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $248k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $162k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $156k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $146k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $100k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | 3k |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 2k |
| FlashTradeOracle | Yes | 1k |
| jeremboss | Yes | 939 |
| rocky42024 | Yes | 917 |
| paddaa | Yes | 883 |
| nryy | Yes | 731 |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
| ketu777 | Yes | 632 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 518 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 18k |
| Goopster | No | 273 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.